26/9/18: 3.35 Goodwood – Final Analysis
The final adjusted ratings for this race are as follows:
Spark Plug 110
First Sitting 108
Canberra Cliffs 100
Colonial Classic 96
There’s major ground issues for First Sitting, Plutonian, Spark Plug, Colonial Classic and Threading who have no winning form on soft ground.
I like the look of GABR and CANBERRA CLIFFS. The latter has a few pounds to find with the best of these on adjusted ratings but has everything in his favour today. Has a course win to his name, a win on soft ground and importantly on this ground he stays 1m4f. The former is bred to appreciate the step up in trip and has a win on good-to-soft to his name, whilst his breeding suggests soft ground shouldn’t be any problem. The stable are in form but he has to put a poor run last time well and truly behind him. At the prices I’m not convinced enough to back him. I’d rather take the 28–1 on an upset with for CANBERRA CLIFFS.
Suggested Bet (Scale £10 — £100):
£10 win Canberra Cliffs @ 28–1 Bet365 bog